Windows 7 is being retooled for the tablet market, Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer has told industry analysts. Even though Apple is out in front with the iPad, Ballmer indicated Microsoft expects to come from behind as it did with netbooks. But an analyst said Microsoft doesn't have a lot of time to strategize because of OEM lead times.
Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer told industry analysts Thursday that the software giant is working in cooperation with device manufacturers to develop a customized version of Windows 7 for tablets. Although Apple has created an entirely new tablet market without Microsoft's participation, Ballmer noted that much the same thing happened with netbooks.
Microsoft went from having no Windows penetration on netbooks in the early days to seeing Windows become "the guiding piece of software" in a market subsegment that now accounts for 15 percent or so of all PCs shipped worldwide, Ballmer observed.
"Just like we had to make things happen on netbooks, we've got to make things happen with Windows 7 on slates" in cooperation with Microsoft's hardware Relevant Products/Services partners, Ballmer said. "We are in the process of doing that as we speak."
Developing Unique Apps
It's clear that Microsoft understands both the threat and opportunity presented by Apple's iPad, but the company's consideration of all the outstanding issues still appears to be in the early stages, said Al Hilwa, director of applications development software at IDC.
"The idea of devices based on Windows is a good one, as we see a world of many form factors competing," Hilwa said. "But if the machine looks and smells too much like Windows, it will mostly cannibalize Windows PC sales and not necessarily affect the growth of phone-derived tablets."
From a competitive perspective, Microsoft has a lot of good software relevant to the emerging tablet market, and has already done a considerable amount of work on relevant technologies like touch, Ballmer said. "We've got the application base, we've got the user familiarity, we've got everything on our side if we do things really right," he added.
To hit the iPad market squarely, however, Microsoft will need a content Relevant Products/Services-consumption strategy that is iTunes-like, an application development model that leverages the critical mass of apps for smartphones, and devices that are more like smartphones in their simplicity than PCs, Hilwa observed.
"They don't have a lot of time to finalize their strategy because of the OEM lead time to get devices out," Hilwa explained. He expects "developer momentum to be more centered on tablet devices six to 12 months from now than even smartphones."
Not Everyone Wants A Slate
Ballmer said Microsoft's partners are focused on delivering the kinds of systems and chips that will enable the company's software to continue moving forward in a wide variety of form factors. "I don't think there really is one size that fits all," Ballmer said. "I don't think everybody wants a slate."
Among the other consumer options that Ballmer foresees are devices featuring transportable screens that can be mated with a keyboard when the user is at home. Others will want machines that are either very light and cheap or very expensive and powerful, he said.
"All of those things are going to be important, and we've got a push right now -- right now -- with our hardware partners, not just to deliver something, but to deliver products that people really want to go buy," Ballmer said. "They'll be shipping as soon as they are ready."
Microsoft expects to get a big boost early next year when Intel brings its new lower-power Oak Trail processor to market. "Lower power is good in a lot of ways: It leads to longer battery life, no fan, lower kind of noise levels, a lot of less weight -- a lot of things that people like," Ballmer said.
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